Homeowners shift mortgage strategy amid economic uncertainty
Middle East conflict prompts Brits to rethink housing plans
- 27 per cent of homeowners report overpaying on their mortgage to get ahead of potential future interest rate rises
- 20 per cent of those remortgaging are looking to lock in a new rate as soon as possible in case of future volatility
- Barclays Mortgage data shows a 9 percentage point increase year-on-year in the share of customers borrowing to remortgage1
- Barclays Property Insights analyses proprietary mortgage data alongside consumer research to uncover the key trends shaping the UK housing market
Barclays Property Insights reveals that global and economic uncertainty is impacting how UK homeowners are managing their household finances. Almost one in five UK adults (17 per cent) say their housing plans have been affected by the conflict in the Middle East, with many taking action to protect against interest rate and cost‑of‑living pressures.
To safeguard against future rate rises, over a quarter of homeowners (27 per cent) say they are overpaying on their mortgage, and a fifth (20 per cent) of those remortgaging are looking to lock in a new rate as soon as possible in case of future volatility.
Early signs of this behaviour appear in Barclays’ mortgage data from March, which shows that the share of customers borrowing for a remortgage – compared to other reasons for borrowing, such as a first-time purchase or a home move – rose 9 percentage points year-on-year1. However, it’s important to note that most of the remortgages completed were initiated prior to the escalation of the conflict in Iran, so this increase is more likely driven by the high numbers of people in the UK rolling off five-year fixed rates taken out during the low-interest rate environment in 2021.
Movers adapt to macroeconomic conditions
Existing homeowners cited a number of factors which could delay or prevent their next move. The top barrier was economic uncertainty, with three in 10 (29 per cent) saying this could change their plans. Other factors include stamp duty (27 per cent), moving fees (28 per cent), mortgage rates (24 per cent), and the price gap between their current home and available properties (24 per cent). Nearly half of adults in work (45 per cent) say their wages are not keeping pace with rising costs, so many may find it harder to take the next step up the ladder.
Facing these barriers, Barclays Mortgage data shows that existing homeowners increasingly gravitate towards cheaper properties and larger mortgages. The proportion of home purchases below £500,000 rose to 73.2 per cent year‑on‑year (up from 70.5 per cent in March 2025), while the share of next-time buyers putting down a deposit of less than £20,000 increased to 56.7 per cent from 43.2 per cent over the same period.
Second‑steppers face the largest financial leap on the housing ladder
Two-in five (41 per cent) UK homeowners say they are living in the first property they’ve ever owned, but moving up to the next rung of the property ladder can be challenging. First-time owners looking to move to their next home – also known as ‘second-steppers’ – estimate needing to save an average of £75,648 to fund the purchase, on top of any proceeds from the sale of their current home. That figure breaks down into £41,751 for a deposit, £28,112 in stamp duty, and £5,785 in third‑party costs such as legal fees.
In contrast, third‑steppers and beyond – i.e. homeowners buying their third or subsequent primary residence – estimate needing to save just £52,651 on average. This includes £19,835 for a deposit, £26,860 for stamp duty, and £5,996 in third‑party costs. That is £22,998 less than second‑steppers, reflecting the greater equity this group has typically built up in their current home. Over two in five (43 per cent) of those further along the property ladder say they would not need to save anything for a deposit at all.
Jatin Patel, Head of Mortgages, Savings and Insurance at Barclays, said: “Periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty inevitably place greater focus on household finances, and we’re seeing homeowners and potential buyers respond in pragmatic ways. Borrowers are demonstrating resilience by overpaying where they can, reassessing their mortgage options, and thinking carefully about timing to maintain flexibility and control.
“For those moving from their first to their second primary residence, the challenge is more structural. Buyers at this stage often face the widest gap between properties, while still needing to fund deposits, stamp duty and moving costs largely from savings rather than equity alone. That makes second‑steppers particularly sensitive to economic pressures, even as they take considered steps to keep their housing plans on track.”
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