Is it possible to predict and prevent property disasters?

Analysis of 10 years of property insurance claims suggests yes.

  • New research, looking at property insurance claims over 10 years, shows escape of water as number one claim, accounting for 34% of total claims
  • The report has identified a link between incidents for escape of water and location of the London’s Victorian water mains
  • Claims for escape of water peak in autumn/winter but are at their lowest in April
  • Whilst you’re less likely to be broken into in the summer, this is the time claims for accidental damage increase
  • Analysis of trends shows claims for malicious damage, subsidence, fire and break-ins are on rise

A detailed report analysing 10 years of property claims¹, released by Hamilton Fraser Total Landlord Insurance (specialist insurance provider to the private rented sector), has identified escape of water as the most likely property insurance claim, accounting for 34 per cent of all claims paid out between 2008 and 2018. However, in the first of its kind, the research reveals that the frequency and type of claims of can be determined by factors such as a property’s location or the time of year, which could help property owners think smarter to predict or minimise damage to properties before disasters occur.

 

Leaky London
Perhaps unsurprisingly, escape of water, defined as ‘when water has entered the property by the mains water supply causing damage’ e.g. a burst pipe, is the most common claim, accounting for 34 per cent of all claims (2008-2018). Interestingly, although a higher concentration of claims in London can in-part be attributed to a greater volume of London customers, the report identifies a clear link between incidents for escape of water clustering not only around the Thames, but closely matching the city’s Victorian water mains.  For example, between 2017-2018 there were 45 reported cases of escape of water along Victorian plumbing lines in Kensington, 28 in Shepherd’s Bush and 27 in Brixton.

 

Seasonal trends
Examining the types of claims against the months they were made across a ten-year period has also revealed a fascinating seasonal link, which could be extremely useful to property owners.  Claims for escape of water increase in autumn/winter owing to frozen/burst pipes, but are at their lowest in April. Hamilton Fraser Total Landlord Insurance paid out £751,377 for escape of water in 2011, which was the highest in the last 10 years.  This ties in with Met Office data which shows at the time, December 2010 was recorded as the coldest December in over 100 years, with the highest number of air frosts in at least the last 50 years².

Other trends identified show that there is a significant spike in fire claims in January, which in rented properties could be as a result of the increased likelihood of tenants leaving power supplies on in unattended properties over the festive period.Attempted break-ins are very high in January but die down moving into summer, before picking up again from September. This could be because homes are seen as more vulnerable in the winter months when daylight hours are shorter, and opportunists are more likely to look for Christmas presents. This is also evidenced by a lull in break-ins during the summer months as a result of lighter evenings.

Accidental damage also peaks in the summer when people might be likely to spend more time at home with children off school.

 

Claim type trends

Removing seasonality as a factor, the data also shows which claims incidents have been increasing and declining. Interestingly, theft has been decreasing since 2011, which could show that landlords are perhaps being more thorough with inventories.  Claims for underground service, which incorporates pipes, cables and drains, and accidental damage are also declining. Increasing trends are malicious damage, subsidence, fire and break-ins. As the most common claims escape of water and also storm damage remained stable.

Although the UK does not experience storms as frequently as some other western countries, major (named) UK storms can do significant damage to homes every year and damage from storms is the second most common claim type. According to Hamilton Fraser Total Landlord Insurance, 51.2 per cent of all storm incident pay-outs have been for roof damage.

 

Eddie Hooker, CEO of Hamilton Fraser, says: “Property insurance is there to protect against those unexpected eventualities, but prevention is always better than cure.  Carrying out this extensive research clearly shows that investment in property maintenance and taking simple steps, like unplugging unused electrical items, could prevent an issue arising in the first place helping to keep your premiums low.”

 

What does this mean for property owners?

  • Although Thames Water have laid 2,300 km of new plastic pipework across Central and North London, there is still work to be done and people looking to invest in property across the Capital may want to research the plumbing infrastructure in their local area
  • Escape of water is a common claim across the UK and can occur due to cracked or damaged pipes. Replacing or repairing these could prevent a future claim
  • Property owners should consider increasing their security measures prior to winter months to prevent break-ins
  • Some fires could be prevented by ensuring all electrical items are switched off when a property is left unattended
  • Keeping an eye on the weather forecast and making necessary repairs to broken roofs and fences etc. ahead of storms may also help protect properties from damage

¹ Report analysed 5,000 landlord insurance claims over a 10-year period
² Met Office Data https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climate/uk/summaries/2011/winter

EAN Content

Content shared by this account is either news shared free by third parties or sponsored (paid for) content from third parties. Please be advised that links to third party websites are not endorsed by Estate Agent Networking - Please do your own research before committing to any third party business promoted on our website. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases.

You May Also Enjoy

Breaking News

Applicant budgets remain stable and rental prices in line with historic norms

Ratio of new renters per instruction rose by 5.1% from 8.9 to 9.4 applications per instruction. Average rental prices declined by 4% in November 2025, remaining closely aligned with November levels observed over the past four years. Year-to-date, average rental prices are 2% higher in 2025 compared to 2024.   New data from Foxtons, London’s…
Read More
Estate Agent Talk

The Impact of Increasing Lease Conversions on Estate Agents in 2026

2026 is shaping up to be a watershed year for the property market. Economic pressures, shifting demand and regulatory changes are converging to create a surge in lease conversion applications. For estate agents, this “perfect storm” will reshape the portfolios they manage and redefine their role in advising landlords. Mustafa Sidki of the construction team…
Read More
Breaking News

First-time buyers help drive the most home moves for three years

Zoopla forecasts 1.5% house price growth for 2026 Housing sales hit 1.2 million over 2025 despite Q4 Budget slowdown More sales doesn’t mean faster price growth – house prices rise just 1.1 per cent (vs 1.9 per cent in 2024) The hottest markets for price growth across Britain are the Scottish Borders (TD postal area…
Read More
Breaking News

Mortgage Lending Statistics – December 2025

Latest findings The outstanding value of all residential mortgage loans increased by 0.9% from the previous quarter to £1,733.7 billion, and was 2.9% higher than a year earlier. The value of gross mortgage advances increased by 36.9% from the previous quarter to £80.4 billion, the largest increase in new advances since 2020 Q3, and was…
Read More
bank of england interest rate
Breaking News

Bank of England interest rates decision – Thoughts from the Industry

The Bank of England has just announced its decision to cut the base rate to 3.75%, the first cut seen since August of this year. This decision comes after inflation (CPI) dropped to 3.2% in November (from 3.6% in October), slowly edging towards the Bank’s 2.0% target. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 5-4 in favour…
Read More
Breaking News

A Winter Rate Cut to Thaw the Market

By Kevin Shaw, National Sales Managing Director, LRG Today’s reduction in interest rates is very welcome news – for homeowners, buyers, property professionals, and no doubt Government ministers. This warming news is set against a chilly backdrop: unemployment has increased to 5.1%, while the November Budget tightened the fiscal screws. Inflation, however, has eased to…
Read More