18% drop in house prices on “Brexit” says George Osborne

The latest prediction by George Osborne that house prices will drop by 18% over 2 years if the UK  votes to leave the EU  is another attempt to dissuade the “Brexit” supporters, it may have had some credibility if he had not been so precise with the figure, why not 10% or 25%, how does he arrive at precisely 18% and what evidence does he have to support such a claim? his claim is just an opinion as anyone else may hold an opinion, it is definately not a fact.

What is a fact is that many would welcome a drop in house prices, especially first time buyers who are desperate to get a foot on the property ladder, they would be more than happy to escape from being one of those who are termed as  “Generation Rent”.

House prices are at present grossly overpriced, no more so than in the capital, whatever the result of the referendum a cooling of house prices is more than likely to take place, this will probably start in London and ripple out, there are reports that ‘top end’  property prices have already started to stagnate in the capital and sellers are having to cut prices to attract buyers, whether Brexit or not house prices will almost certainly correct sometime in the future, that may come sooner than many expect if increases in interest rates begin to happen.

 

 

 

 

Allen Walkey

Highly experienced businessman with a successful career in property sales and investment both in the UK and abroad. Now a freelance writer and blogger for the property and Investment Industry, keeping readers up-to-date with changes and events in a rapidly changing world.

You May Also Enjoy

Breaking News

Nationwide extends six times lending to home movers and remortgage

Nationwide enhances support for people looking to move up the property ladder or get a new mortgage deal Five-fold increase in Nationwide loans to first-time buyers at or above 5.5x income in 2025, compared to 2024 Increased first-time buyer support follows regulatory changes to improve affordability Nationwide is today announcing a major boost to the…
Read More
Breaking News

Breaking Property News – 21/1/2026

Daily bite-sized proptech and property news in partnership with Proptech-X.   Jon Cooke steps down as Non-Executive Director at GPEA Jon Cooke will continue to focus on innovation within the property sector Jon Cooke has stepped down from his role as Non-Executive Director at GPEA, the business that owned Fine & Country and The Guild…
Read More
Breaking News

UK Finance Buy-to-Let Mortgage Market Update

UK Finance today releases its buy-to-let (BTL) mortgage market update for Q3 2025, looking at trends in lending to borrowers accessing the market. In Q3 2025 there were 59,467 new buy-to-let loans advanced in the UK, worth £10.9 billion. This was up quite significantly compared with the same quarter in the previous year, 22.7 per…
Read More
Breaking News

ONS Private Rent and House Prices Index

Average UK monthly private rents increased by 4.0%, to £1,368, in the 12 months to December 2025 (provisional estimate); this annual growth rate is down from 4.4% in the 12 months to November 2025. Average rents increased to £1,424 (3.9%) in England, £822 (5.7%) in Wales, and £1,018 (2.8%) in Scotland, in the 12 months…
Read More
Breaking News

UK House Price Index November 2025

The latest index shows that: The average monthly rate of house price growth in November was +0.3%. Average UK house price annual inflation was 2.5% in the 12 months to November 2025, up from the revised estimate of 1.9% in the 12 months to October 2025. As a result, the average UK house price currently…
Read More
Breaking News

Industry Comment on UK inflation rising to 3.4%

UK inflation rises for the first time in 5 months. Industry reactions on UK inflation rising to 3.4% Nathan Emerson, CEO of Propertymark: “To witness inflation creep back upwards again will no doubt be disappointing for many consumers who will have been hoping to see a drop as we move further into the first quarter…
Read More