18% drop in house prices on “Brexit” says George Osborne

The latest prediction by George Osborne that house prices will drop by 18% over 2 years if the UK  votes to leave the EU  is another attempt to dissuade the “Brexit” supporters, it may have had some credibility if he had not been so precise with the figure, why not 10% or 25%, how does he arrive at precisely 18% and what evidence does he have to support such a claim? his claim is just an opinion as anyone else may hold an opinion, it is definately not a fact.

What is a fact is that many would welcome a drop in house prices, especially first time buyers who are desperate to get a foot on the property ladder, they would be more than happy to escape from being one of those who are termed as  “Generation Rent”.

House prices are at present grossly overpriced, no more so than in the capital, whatever the result of the referendum a cooling of house prices is more than likely to take place, this will probably start in London and ripple out, there are reports that ‘top end’  property prices have already started to stagnate in the capital and sellers are having to cut prices to attract buyers, whether Brexit or not house prices will almost certainly correct sometime in the future, that may come sooner than many expect if increases in interest rates begin to happen.

 

 

 

 

Allen Walkey

Highly experienced businessman with a successful career in property sales and investment both in the UK and abroad. Now a freelance writer and blogger for the property and Investment Industry, keeping readers up-to-date with changes and events in a rapidly changing world.

You May Also Enjoy

Rightmove logo
Breaking News

February is the best time to get your home sold

February is the best month to sell a home, based on the likelihood that a seller will be able to successfully find a buyer, new research from Rightmove reveals In a tightly contested piece of analysis based on millions of homes sold over ten years, February came out on top as the best month to…
Read More
Breaking News

Over 1.2m homes sold across the UK

The latest analysis of Government transaction data by GetAgent.co.uk has revealed that, despite widespread perceptions that 2025 was a difficult year for the property market, more than 1.2m homes sold across the UK, marking a 9.3% increase on the previous year. GetAgent analysed Government data on UK property transactions to estimate how many homes sold…
Read More
Breaking News

Planning reform alone will not fix the UK’s housing crisis

Propertymark has published a new position paper, Meeting UK house demand, moving beyond the planning system, warning that focusing solely on reforming the planning system will not deliver the number of homes the UK urgently needs. While planning reform is frequently cited as the primary solution to the housing shortage, Propertymark’s analysis shows that changes…
Read More
Breaking News

One in three mortgage hunting FTBs has at least 25% deposit

While higher loan-to-value (LTV) mortgages dominate first-time buyer demand a significant minority are seeking higher deposit deals, fresh data from Moneyfactscompare.co.uk can reveal. Of those looking for fixed term deals on moneyfactscompare.co.uk: Almost one in three (30%) first-time buyers are opting for 90% LTV mortgages, and a further 12% are looking at 95% LTV options. This…
Read More
Breaking News

Breaking Property News 3/2/26

Daily bite-sized proptech and property news in partnership with Proptech-X.   Premium estate agency unveils ambitious plans to accelerate international expansion Fine & Country, the premium estate agency brand renowned for its distinctive marketing and high-end property expertise, has announced plans to significantly expand its international footprint as part of its long-term growth strategy. Over the past…
Read More
how to present your property for sale
Breaking News

Nationwide House Price Index for January 2026 – Industry Reaction

Nationwide House Price Index for January 2026. The latest index shows that: House prices increased by 0.3% between December 2025 and January 2026. This reversed the -0.4% monthly decline seen between November and December of last year. Annual growth sat at 1% in January 2026, with this annual rate of growth increasing from 0.6% in…
Read More